Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.896957 1.009598 1.132440 1.276598 1.441447 1.624431 1.843422
2025-01-26 0.729791 0.883538 1.065287 1.297050 1.586236 1.937115 2.398038
2025-02-02 0.641286 0.814526 1.030558 1.321860 1.707611 2.205385 2.903553
2025-02-09 0.572695 0.756038 0.994769 1.331725 1.800412 2.437130 3.381080
2025-02-16 0.518532 0.707396 0.962570 1.337202 1.881054 2.654011 3.857715
2025-02-23 0.480854 0.675603 0.947626 1.361521 1.986317 2.912058 4.421234
2025-03-02 0.432945 0.623737 0.897912 1.328100 1.999848 3.031973 4.783793
2025-03-09 0.408137 0.602549 0.889795 1.354333 2.104450 3.299503 5.411775
2025-03-16 0.376827 0.568412 0.858502 1.340394 2.142166 3.461757 5.881342
2025-03-23 0.355486 0.547475 0.845159 1.352763 2.222438 3.700437 6.511080
2025-03-30 0.329820 0.517424 0.814538 1.333189 2.245589 3.841966 6.980495
2025-04-06 0.309230 0.493803 0.792130 1.324834 2.286314 4.017018 7.532819
2025-04-13 0.280998 0.455904 0.743824 1.268553 2.237914 4.028507 7.776679
2025-04-20 0.269184 0.444672 0.739617 1.289828 2.333725 4.320343 8.626087
2025-04-27 0.258971 0.435270 0.737572 1.314385 2.437510 4.638158 9.574138
2025-05-04 0.247300 0.422375 0.728215 1.324198 2.513213 4.907885 10.456637
2025-05-11 0.235964 0.409195 0.717215 1.329640 2.580291 5.166734 11.352036
2025-05-18 0.228138 0.401752 0.716031 1.353806 2.687611 5.522053 12.525034
2025-05-25 0.213318 0.380390 0.687282 1.320595 2.671286 5.606891 13.059234
2025-06-01 0.207133 0.374736 0.687845 1.346663 2.784172 5.991696 14.398269
2025-06-08 0.196580 0.360056 0.669900 1.332812 2.807976 6.175308 15.249403
2025-06-15 0.189793 0.352167 0.664646 1.345103 2.891274 6.507479 16.547239
2025-06-22 0.179995 0.337756 0.645390 1.325652 2.899803 6.660629 17.379863